Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Mar 3rd, 2025 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSeeking dry snow after the warmup may lead you into terrain with lingering persistent slab hazards.
Remain cautious on high northerly slopes & areas without a supportive surface crust.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Sun: Several small loose wet avalanches were ski cut and one size 2 natural avalanche occurred near Castle Mtn.
Fri /Sat: Naturally triggered size 2.5 persistent slabs occurred near Castle Mtn. Both ran on the persistent weak layer, approx 50 cm deep. In nearby Warterton, five natural size 2.5 to 3 persistent slabs were observed on north through east slopes at treeline and alpine. They also ran on the same weak layer, which remains a concern at higher elevations.
Snowpack Summary
In most areas, the snow surface is crusty or wet/moist up to around 1900 m. The moist snow extends 30 to 50 cm deep, while most sun-affected slopes are moist to ground. Dry but wind-affected snow may remain on high north-facing slopes.
The main feature of the region's overall shallow snowpack is a persistent weak layer of surface hoar or facets from late January now buried 40 to 60 cm deep (see photo below). This layer was active during the warm-up and remains a concern at elevations where a thick surface crust hasn't stabilized the snowpack.
Weather Summary
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow, clearing toward morning. 10 to 15 km/h west ridgetop wind, increasing. Freezing level 1400 m, then falling to valley bottom. Treeline temperature around -10 °C.
Tuesday
Sunny, with increasing cloud in the afternoon. 10 to 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around -2 °C.
Wednesday
Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around 2 °C.
Thursday
Sunny. 10 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1800 m. Treeline temperature around-1 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
- Avoid thin areas like rocky outcrops where you're most likely to trigger avalanches on deep weak layers.
- Loose avalanches may step down to deeper layers, resulting in larger avalanches.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
The persistent weak layer has produced several large to very large avalanches in recent days. It remains a concern in areas where a thick and strong surface crust is absent.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Wet
Back off slopes if the surface becomes wet with rising temperatures.
Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Mar 4th, 2025 4:00PM