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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 3rd, 2025–Mar 4th, 2025
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Seeking dry snow after the warmup may lead you into terrain with lingering persistent slab hazards.

Remain cautious on high northerly slopes & areas without a supportive surface crust.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Sun: Several small loose wet avalanches were ski cut and one size 2 natural avalanche occurred near Castle Mtn.

Fri /Sat: Naturally triggered size 2.5 persistent slabs occurred near Castle Mtn. Both ran on the persistent weak layer, approx 50 cm deep. In nearby Warterton, five natural size 2.5 to 3 persistent slabs were observed on north through east slopes at treeline and alpine. They also ran on the same weak layer, which remains a concern at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

In most areas, the snow surface is crusty or wet/moist up to around 1900 m. The moist snow extends 30 to 50 cm deep, while most sun-affected slopes are moist to ground. Dry but wind-affected snow may remain on high north-facing slopes.

The main feature of the region's overall shallow snowpack is a persistent weak layer of surface hoar or facets from late January now buried 40 to 60 cm deep (see photo below). This layer was active during the warm-up and remains a concern at elevations where a thick surface crust hasn't stabilized the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow, clearing toward morning. 10 to 15 km/h west ridgetop wind, increasing. Freezing level 1400 m, then falling to valley bottom. Treeline temperature around -10 °C.

Tuesday

Sunny, with increasing cloud in the afternoon. 10 to 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around -2 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around 2 °C.

Thursday

Sunny. 10 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1800 m. Treeline temperature around-1 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • Avoid thin areas like rocky outcrops where you're most likely to trigger avalanches on deep weak layers.
  • Loose avalanches may step down to deeper layers, resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

The persistent weak layer has produced several large to very large avalanches in recent days. It remains a concern in areas where a thick and strong surface crust is absent.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3

Loose Wet

Back off slopes if the surface becomes wet with rising temperatures.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5