Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 3rd, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Loose Wet.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

Seeking dry snow after the warmup may lead you into terrain with lingering persistent slab hazards.

Remain cautious on high northerly slopes & areas without a supportive surface crust.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Sun: Several small loose wet avalanches were ski cut and one size 2 natural avalanche occurred near Castle Mtn.

Fri /Sat: Naturally triggered size 2.5 persistent slabs occurred near Castle Mtn. Both ran on the persistent weak layer, approx 50 cm deep. In nearby Warterton, five natural size 2.5 to 3 persistent slabs were observed on north through east slopes at treeline and alpine. They also ran on the same weak layer, which remains a concern at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

In most areas, the snow surface is crusty or wet/moist up to around 1900 m. The moist snow extends 30 to 50 cm deep, while most sun-affected slopes are moist to ground. Dry but wind-affected snow may remain on high north-facing slopes.

The main feature of the region's overall shallow snowpack is a persistent weak layer of surface hoar or facets from late January now buried 40 to 60 cm deep (see photo below). This layer was active during the warm-up and remains a concern at elevations where a thick surface crust hasn't stabilized the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow, clearing toward morning. 10 to 15 km/h west ridgetop wind, increasing. Freezing level 1400 m, then falling to valley bottom. Treeline temperature around -10 °C.

Tuesday

Sunny, with increasing cloud in the afternoon. 10 to 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around -2 °C.

Wednesday

Cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of snow. 15 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1700 m. Treeline temperature around 2 °C.

Thursday

Sunny. 10 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Freezing level 1800 m. Treeline temperature around-1 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • Avoid thin areas like rocky outcrops where you're most likely to trigger avalanches on deep weak layers.
  • Loose avalanches may step down to deeper layers, resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The persistent weak layer has produced several large to very large avalanches in recent days. It remains a concern in areas where a thick and strong surface crust is absent.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Back off slopes if the surface becomes wet with rising temperatures.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Mar 4th, 2025 4:00PM

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