Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 14th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is high. Known problems include Loose Wet, Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada DK, Avalanche Canada

Email

Afternoon Road Closures are anticipated on Maligne Lake Road and the Icefields Parkway (from Parkers Ridge to Saskatchewan Crossing)

Check AB511 for immediate updates

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose wet, snowballing, and pinwheels were observed on steep sunny aspects. Large slabs have been observed in alpine lee features near the Icefields.

Snowpack Summary

The forecasted warmup will be a dramatic change to the surface and mid-pack condition of the snowpack. This change will happen over an extremely reactive crust interface down 35-60cm. This persistent weak layer has been consistently producing large natural avalanches. The equally worrisome basal depth hoar makes up the bottom third of the snowpack. HS ranges from 80 to 130cm.

Weather Summary

Clearing overnight Thursday

Parker Ridge - Friday

Sunny with cloudy periods on Friday. No new precip.

Alpine temperatures: High 3 °C.

Mostly Light SW winds.

Freezing level: 2600 m

Saturday

Sunny. Low -1 °C, High 6 °C.

Freezing level: 3200 m

Mountain Weather Forecast is available @ Avalanche Canada https://www.avalanche.ca/weather/forecast

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Strong and extended solar and temperature change is expected on all aspects. Open and exposed terrain will accelerate this process and may initiate deeper instabilities.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

This problem layer is the crust and facets created by early February's warm spell. It is down 30-80 cm in the snowpack and is a 1-10 cm thick crust or multiple crusts with a layer of weak facets above.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

The base of the snowpack is inherently weak and untrustworthy. Tickling this deep layer would result in a high consequence avalanche. Any avalanche in the upper snowpack has the potential to step down to the base of the snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3.5

Valid until: Mar 15th, 2024 4:00PM