Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Mar 11 – 12, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 7 months ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

Update 7:00 am: Natural avalanches are expected at upper elevations.

Persistent slabs remain possible to human trigger at treeline and above.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    At upper elevations, where the crust is thinner or not present, it may still be possible to trigger persistent slabs on multiple buried weak layers of surface hoar and/or crusts in the top 120 cm of the snowpack.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–3

    Forecast 20 to 30 cm of snow and extreme southwest wind on Wednesday night will form storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about forecast snowfall amounts.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, a few explosive triggered wind slabs were reported in steep alpine terrain near Fernie.

Avalanche activity is expected to increase on Thursday with the forecast snow and wind on Wednesday night.

Snowpack Summary

Forecast 20 to 30 cm of snow and extreme southwest wind on Wednesday night will form storm slabs that will be most reactive in wind affected terrain.

The recent snow sits on a 1 to 10 cm thick crust on all aspects. The thickness of the crust depends on elevation.

At upper elevations, where the crust is thinner or not present, it may still be possible to trigger persistent slabs on multiple buried weak layers of surface hoar and/or crusts in the top 120 cm of the snowpack.

The mid/lower snowpack is well settled and strong in most areas.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Cloudy. 20 to 30 cm of snow above 1300 m (rain below). 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level rising to 1700 m.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 60 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level 1500 m.

Friday
Mostly cloudy. 0 to 5 cm of snow. 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Saturday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 10 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level valley bottom.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Use small, low consequence slopes to test the bond of the new snow.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, or recent avalanches.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind-exposed terrain.

Regions covered