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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2024–Mar 12th, 2024
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Avoid avalanche terrain on Tuesday. The snowpack is complex and under stress from new snow and wind-loading.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

There were numerous size 2 slab avalanches triggered by riders in the Whistler area on Sunday. They mostly occurred within recent storm snow, with crown depths of 40 to 80 cm. Explosive control also produced a few very large (size 3 to 4) avalanches that failed on the early February persistent weak layer.

Another round of storm slab avalanches is expected Monday night into Tuesday.

Snowpack Summary

Fresh storm slabs will form Monday night into Tuesday, as 20 to 30 cm of new snow with strong wind is expected. This adds to the 60 to 120 cm of storm snow from the weekend, which may not yet be settled and bonded. Alpine terrain is heavily wind-affected.

A weak layer composed of facets on a crust is buried 100 to 200 cm deep. This layer remains sensitive to both human and natural triggers and is capable of producing very large avalanches.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Flurries with 10 to 20 cm of snow. 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

Tuesday

Flurries easing midday with 10 cm of snow in the morning then cloudy in the afternoon. 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Wednesday

Mix of sun and cloud. 20 km/hr southwest wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C with freezing level rising to 1200 m.

Thursday

Mostly sunny. 15 km/hr northwest wind. Treeline temperature +5 °C with freezing level rising to 3000 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy snowfall.
  • Avoid traveling in runout zones. Avalanches have the potential to run to the valley floor.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, watch out for adjacent and overhead slopes.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and wind will form widespread and reactive storm slabs on Monday night. Older storm and wind slabs from the weekend may also be reactive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

Buried weak layers are most concerning at treeline elevations. Small avalanches may step down to this layer resulting in very large destructive avalanches. These avalanches may also be triggered remotely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 2.5 - 3.5