Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 21st, 2025 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Avalanche Canada, Avalanche Canada

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New snow, wind & warming are forecast to cause an increase in avalanche activity.

Watch for persistent slabs to become more reactive.

Summary

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, a size 1.5 naturally-triggered wind slab was reported in the Lizard Range on a north-facing slope.

Additionally, numerous, size 1 to 2 dry and wet loose avalanches, both natural- and rider-triggered have been running in steep terrain over the past few days.

On Tuesday there were two reports of size 1.5 skier and snowmobile triggered persistent slab avalanches in the alpine. See details in this MIN here as well as this MIN.

Snowpack Summary

Around 5 to 15 cm of new snow is expected to fall overnight and through Saturday, with the highest amounts forecast for the Lizard Range. This will add to the current 20 to 30 cm of more recent snow overlying 30 to 60 cm of facets. Below this is a persistent weak layer consisting of a crust or facets and surface hoar buried in late January. The mid and lower snowpack is generally well settled, with no other layers of concern.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

Saturday

Cloudy with 2 to 5 cm of snow. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C. Freezing level rising to 1800 m.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with 15 to 25 cm of snow or rain below 1700 m. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0 °C. Freezing level rising to 2000 m.

Monday

Mainly cloudy with 0 to 5 cm of snow or rain below 1400 m. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level rising to 1700 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Fresh snow rests on a problematic persistent slab, don't let good riding lure you into complacency.
  • Pay attention to the wind; once it starts to blow, sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Be especially cautious as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The late January weak layer may get overloaded by a combination of new snow, wind and warming. When in doubt, stick to more conservative terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Up to 15 cm of new snow combined with southwesterly winds may build reactive new wind slabs at upper elevations. Watch for wind-loaded areas, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 22nd, 2025 4:00PM

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