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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2017–Jan 5th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

In the next 48hrs winds will decrease to light at treeline and shift from the north to the W and SW. Highs on thursday of -12 and light ppt producing up to 7cm of snow. Temperatures will remain much the same into Saturday when another cooling trend will set in.

Snowpack Summary

After two significant cold spells and below average snowfall the snowpack is weak, shallow and has several layers of concern. The snowpack base is rapidly turning the depth hoar above which is a significant rain crust now buried up to a meter below the surface. The upper snowpack is stratified with wind slabs the bonding between which is suspect.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been observed or reported in the past 24 hours .

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.