Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 25th, 2012 3:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

A Pacific frontal system is expected to bring light snow accumulations starting later tonight into Wednesday. The weather pattern for the rest of the forecast period looks to be fairly benign.Wednesday: Snow amounts near 5 cm, with ridgetop winds 30 km/hr from the SW and alpine temperatures near -9.Thursday: Light flurries with ridgetop winds blowing light from the West and alpine temperatures near -10.Friday: Cloudy with few sunny breaks, ridgetop winds light from the West and alpine temperatures near -12.

Avalanche Summary

One size natural size 2.0 avalanche occurred from an East aspect at 1900 m from Record Mt. Explosive avalanche control initiated several size 1.0-1.5 loose snow avalanches from N-NW aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Around 110 cm new snow has fallen over the past week. The recent storm snow seems to be settling with moderate to hard resistant shears in the top meter of the snowpack.  In areas of wind effect, expect the storm slab to be stiffer, easy to trigger and more reactive. In sheltered places the slab is still relatively unconsolidated and soft and may not propagate far. In some areas through the region, people continue to monitor the late November buried surface hoar found down around 130 cm. Test results are in the hard to very hard range with sudden results. This layer may be difficult to trigger, but you can expect a consequential avalanche to occur if this layer fails. Deeper in the snowpack sits a well settled mid-pack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Blowing winds from variable directions has redistributed recent storm snow on most aspects. Use extra caution on lee slopes, behind spines, and in wind exposed areas. Reverse loading may catch you by surprise on unsuspecting slopes.
Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong indicators of an unstable snowpack.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.>Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Dec 26th, 2012 2:00PM