Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 24th, 2013 9:43AM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

Sunday night and Monday: Heavy snowfall switching to broken cloud on Monday / Moderate to strong west winds becoming light northwesterly on Monday / Freezing level at 1000mTuesday: Light snowfall / Light southwest winds / Freezing level at 900mWednesday: Moderate to heavy snowfall / Strong southwest winds / Freezing level at 1000m

Avalanche Summary

A widespread natural avalanche cycle to size 3 was observed in response to heavy loading from wind and snow on Friday. I would expect ongoing avalanche activity with forecast weather and the current weak snowpack structure.

Snowpack Summary

Heavy amounts of recent snow and strong winds have created deep and potentially destructive storm slabs. Underneath the new snow, you may find surface hoar that was buried on February 20th. Field reports suggest that it is reactive in many areas throughout the region, particularly at treeline and sheltered alpine terrain where broad shooting cracks were observed. Where it exists, surface hoar will certainly prolong the reactivity and destructive potential of the newly developed slab. The mid and lower snowpack layers are generally strong and well settled.The current weather will likely be forming new cornices. Expect cornices to be large and unstable.Total snow depths vary from around 400 cm in the south to around 180 cm in the north.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
Moderate to heavy snowfall and strong winds forecast for Sunday will contribute to ongoing storm/ wind slab instabilities. Triggering will most likely occur in wind-loaded terrain or in areas where buried surface hoar exists.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Be aware of the potential for large, deep avalanches due to the presence of buried surface hoar.>Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Valid until: Feb 25th, 2013 2:00PM