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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 28th, 2017–Jan 29th, 2017
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

A weak interface has hit critical load and is proving to be very sensitive. New snow and wind overloading this interface on all aspects and elevations.

Weather Forecast

Steady, seasonally mild alpine temperatures (-5 to -10). Forecasted SW winds with strong to extreme ridge top values. Some snow expected (5 to 10cms). Very good recipe for new building slab conditions.

Snowpack Summary

Surface hoar present in most areas unaffected by moderate winds. Exposed TL and ALP have been stripped of snow. Settling and distribution of upper and mid snow pack overlies facets and basal weakness.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous reactive windslab and loose dry avalanches reported along the parkway up to sz 2.5 on all aspects. Most active at TL elevations between (2200m - 2500m).

Confidence

Wind effect is extremely variable

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Big open features should be avoided. Recent natural avalanche activity on these slopes is expected to continue.
Minimize exposure to steep, planer slopesMinimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Loose Dry

Wind loading and shedding from steep faces, especially concerning for ice climbers.
Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3