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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 15th, 2025–Mar 16th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Continued reports of human-triggered persistent slab avalanches show buried weak layers remain sensitive

Careful snowpack evaluation and conservative decision-making are essential

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Friday, a size 1.5 and a size 2 human-triggered persistent slab avalanches were reported in open alpine features at 2000 m.

Reports from earlier this week observed both natural and human-triggered wind slab and persistent slab avalanche activity to size 3 in the alpine. These avalanches were 20 to 40 cm deep and were all suspected of running on a weak layer of surface hoar buried in early March.

Snowpack Summary

Southerly winds have redistributed 20 to 40 cm of recent snow into deep pockets on lee slopes. This snow buried a widespread layer of large surface hoar crystals, which sits on a crust on solar aspects and at low elevations. This layer has been reactive in recent days where a slab has consolidated above.

A layer of facets, surface hoar and/or a crust from mid-February is buried 50 to 100 cm deep. This layer produced large natural and human-triggered avalanches last week.

The remainder of the snowpack is well consolidated with no concerns at this time.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with light flurries, 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -10 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with light flurries, 2 to 3 cm of snow. 15 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C.

Monday

A mix of sun and clouds. 15 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -11 °C.

Tuesday

Cloudy with light flurries, 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to buried weak layers.
  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.
  • In times of uncertainty, conservative terrain choices are our best defense.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

South winds have redistributed recent snow into alpine and treeline lee terrain features. Wind slabs may be more reactive where they overlie a buried weak layer of surface hoar.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5

Persistent Slabs

Two weak layers of facets and/or surface hoar that were buried mid-February and early March continue to be reactive to human triggering. Make conservative terrain choices and avoid exposure to overhead hazards.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3