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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 9th, 2017–Feb 10th, 2017
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Lizard-Flathead.

A Special Public Avalanche Warning applies to this region.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Scattered flurries, accumulation 5-10cm / Moderate to strong west wind / Alpine temperature -5SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Moderate to strong west wind / Alpine temperature -7SUNDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries / Moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature -8

Avalanche Summary

Reports from the Fernie area indicate widespread natural and skier controlled avalanche activity to size 1.5. Most avalanches were isolated to the depth of 40cm in the most recent moist storm snow. These avalanches were happening at all elevations. There was one report of Size 3 natural avalanche running in steep alpine terrain on an east aspect. Previously buried surface hoar, facets, and/or a sun crust may increase the reactivity and propagation propensity of storm slabs.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40cm of moist new snow fell on Thursday to add an additional load to the 60-80cm of storm snow accumulated last weekend. Strong shifting winds redistributed the previous storm's snow in exposed terrain forming touchy wind slabs. These wind slabs are now obscured by the latest round of snowfall. The combined accumulation of multiple storms' snow overlies a highly variable old surface which included wind affected surfaces, a layer of surface hoar in sheltered areas, facets, and/or a thin sun crust. Recent reports suggest a poor bond between the new snow and the old surface. The mid and lower snowpack are generally well settled and stable but isolated basal weaknesses may exist in shallow snowpack areas.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Additional new snow, warmer temperatures and wind have created touchy new storm and wind slabs.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Use conservative route selection, choose low angled and supported terrain with low consequence.The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 3