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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 28th, 2015–Mar 1st, 2015
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Cariboos.

New snow, northerly winds and cold arctic air are expected to increase the avalanche danger on Monday.Are you a member of Avalanche Canada? Join today at avalanche.ca/membership

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

Cloud developing overnight combined with light southerly winds and freezing levels down to valley bottoms, and alpine temperatures around -10. A mix of sun and cloud during the day on Sunday with freezing levels rising up to about 1200 metres and light precipitation starting in the late afternoon. Cold arctic air is forecast to descend from the northeast resulting in 3-5 cm of new snow on Monday with alpine temperatures around -20 combined with moderate northerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate northerly winds have created some thin windslabs from re-distributing the 5-20 cm of snow that is available for transport at alpine elevations. The surface snow has become facetted due to the cold overnight temperatures, and a new layer of surface hoar has been reported in some areas. Strong solar radiation has resulted in a thin breakable melt-freeze crust on southerly aspects at all elevations. The mid-February crust is reported to be strong, and has been stripped of new snow in many areas by northerly winds. The late-Jan crust/surface hoar layer (up to 100 cm deep) and the mid-January surface hoar (80-120 cm deep) are generally dormant, and chances of triggering these weaknesses have decreased dramatically. However, triggering may be possible with a large input such as cornice fall, or an avalanche stepping down, especially on slopes that see a lot of sun.

Avalanche Problems

Persistent Slabs

Triggering persistent slab avalanches has become unlikely, but may be possible with large loads like cornice falls. Periods of strong solar radiation may allow for triggering from weak thin snowpack areas.
Conditions have greatly improved, but be mindful that deep instabilities are still present.>Watch for clues, like sluffing off of cliffs, that the snowpack is warming up. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 3 - 5

Wind Slabs

Some new windslabs have developed as a result of light snowfalls and moderate northerly winds.
Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>Avoid travelling in areas that have been reverse loaded by winds.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2