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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 1st, 2026–Feb 2nd, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

Rain continues to affect the snowpack. Greatest concern is for higher elevations where rain may fall on recent storm snow.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to variable freezing levels.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported, however observations are limited.

Snowpack Summary

Expect to find rain soaked snow to the mountain top by the end of the day. The recent snow overlies a hard crust. The mid/lower snowpack is generally well settled and strong.

Average treeline snow depth is 100 to 140 cm, and the snowpack tapers rapidly with elevation.

Weather Summary

Sunday Night
Cloudy. 5 to 10 mm of precipitation as snow or rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1 °C. Freezing level 1400 m.

Monday
Cloudy. 10 to 35 mm of rain at treeline. 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2 °C. Freezing levels rise to 2000 m over the day.

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. 3 to 10 mm of rain at treeline. 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 2400 m.

Wednesday
Mix of sun and clouds. 3 to 5 mm of rain at treeline. 60 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 8 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
  • Loose avalanches may start small, but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.