Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 18th, 2016 4:18PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mbender, Avalanche Canada

There is a wide variation between forecast snowfall amounts and temperatures in the north and south of the region. Danger ratings as seen here are for anticipated higher snowfall and warmer temperatures in the south

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Monday: Snow, accumulations from Sunday night through Monday 10-20cm in the north of the region and 20-30cm in the south / Moderate to strong southwest wind / Alpine temperature -9 in the north, -2 in the southTuesday: Flurries in the north and snow in the south of the region, accumulations 5-10cm in the north and 20-30 in the south / Moderate to strong southwest wind / Alpine temperature of -5 in the north, 0 in the southWednesday: Cloudy with scattered flurries / Moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature -5

Avalanche Summary

Expect avalanche activity to rise with new snowfall accumulating Sunday night through the day Monday combined with moderate to strong wind and warming temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

New snow overlies the previous variable snow surface from last week, which includes hard wind pressed or scoured areas, old wind slabs, weak faceted snow, or surface hoar. New wind slabs that have formed in response to southwest winds. In the Duffey Lake area, recent snowpack tests gave moderate sudden planar results down 36 cm on buried surface hoar. The widespread mid-November crust is typically down approximately 1 metre. Recent snowpack tests have shown the crust to be unreactive, but it could become a problem in shallow alpine start zones.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs
New snow combined with moderate to strong southwest winds have created slabs on top of a variety of potential weak sliding layers.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Dec 19th, 2016 2:00PM

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