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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 7th, 2016–Feb 8th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Warming trend Monday and continuing through the week (our first taste of spring conditions) will shift the hazard quickly over the day. Not to worry, winter will return!

Weather Forecast

Progressive spring like conditions for the week in the forecast area. The sun will have a strong punch on any solar aspects for Monday and freezing levels will jump to over 3000ms by Tuesday with a strengthening diurnal cycle. Expected day time temperatures to get above 0 with some recovery overnight. Pack your skin wax, sunglasses and tanning oil! 

Snowpack Summary

New wind slab formed at tree-line and above on North-Easterly aspects below ridge crests and cross-loaded terrain. These slabs are loading a weak and facetted mid-pack that has a layer of concern down about 30 to 60cm at the interface between old facets and new snow. Isolated pockets of decomposing surface hoar at tree-line down 40cm.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Monday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.