Avalanche forecast

Salt River and Wyoming Ranges

Bridger-Teton Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 4 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Human-triggered avalanches one to three feet thick are possible on slopes where the wind has built slabs on top of weak layers in the snowpack. Slabs failing on weak layers in sheltered terrain are less likely but can't be ruled out entirely.  You can reduce your risk by avoiding thinner areas in the snowpack at middle and upper elevations. Carefully evaluate the snow for depth and the presence of a buried weak layer.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    2–3

    Our most concerning persistent weak layers sit near the middle and base of the snowpack. An avalanche failing on one of these layers has the potential to be very large, three or more feet thick, particularly in open and well-connected terrain features. Persistent weak layers can produce avalanches many weeks after they are buried. Minor warming  or small amounts of new snowfall can make these layers sensitive to human triggering. They can break wider than you might expect and may be triggered remotely, from gentle terrain next to a steeper slope. 

    Trigger points are an important consideration with these avalanches. You can reduce your chances of trigger an avalanche by avoiding slopes with shallow, more southerly areas where you can more easily impact the weak layer. Trigger points are most common in alpine (or alpine-like) terrain:  very steep (over about 35 degrees), rocky, and wind-affected.  Pay attention to what's below you—look for trees, rocks, gullies, and other terrain traps that could turn even a small avalanche deadly.

    (1/5/2023)

    This avalanche was triggered by a rider at Jack Hollow on a southeast aspect at 9,500 feet.  It failed on weak snow in the lower half of the snowpack and was approx. 3 feet thick. 

    Photo: Antonioli

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Many small wind slab avalanches where observed 24-48 hours ago just north in the Tetons. In the past 24 hours, moderate wind shifted to the north and has likely loaded and cross loaded aspects with a southern component.  Wind slabs formed from light to moderate, variable winds may remain reactive underfoot today. Wind-affected areas can be identified by drifts, cornices and pillows along ridge crests, or stiffened snow surfaces. Recent snowfall and cold temperatures have allowed loose snow to accumulate beneath cliff faces and gullies. These sluff piles can be triggered much the same way as smoother wind slabs and may also add strain to buried weak layers.

    Steep slopes where wind slabs and persistent weak layers overlap are where you're most likely totrigger a large avalanche. Wind-affected snow may also be buried beneath recent, lighter snowfall. Slopes with stiffer snow near the surface—whether from wind-loading or "spin drifting" below large cliff faces—are more likely to produce big avalanches than areas where the surface is loose powder.

     

     

    (1/17/2023)

    From an observation: "Probably the biggest sluff we saw in the N Salts on NNE aspects, started off small around 9500' and ran about 1000' vertically."

    Photo: Max Mogren

Avalanche Discussion

Great skiing and riding exists throughout the Greys River forecast area without tangling with the terrain most likely to produce an avalanche. Signs of instability are not obvious now, though if you pay close attention, probe for snow depths, dig on the aspect you want to ride and generally avoid the problem areas listed below, you can still have a safe day. 

Be wary of entering avalanche terrain that has most or all of the following characteristics:

  • Wind-affected alpine or near-treeline terrain above about 9000' in elevation. This does not exclude typically windward slopes. These areas have seen recent consistent snowfall and differing wind patterns that have created a complex pattern of scoured and loaded slopes, likely resting on a far thinner snowpack relative to other slopes in the area. 
  • Slopes with rocks poking through the snow and variable snow depths due to uneven terrain
  • 35-45 degrees in steepness

Regions covered