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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 1st, 2024–Jan 2nd, 2024
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Use caution on wind loaded features in the alpine. Recent new snow accompanied by southerly winds has formed wind slab in the alpine that may remain sensitive to rider traffic.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday ski cutting produced one size one wind slab at treeline that ran on a crust.

Snowpack Summary

Check out this great MIN describing conditions at Shames.

There is a thick rain crust at or near the surface up to 1500 m. At upper elevations, moderate to strong southwest winds have redistributed any recent snow into lee terrain. Multiple crusts exist in the top 30 cm of the snowpack.

Two buried surface hoar layers may still be found in isolated areas, buried 75-100 cm, and 120-200 cm deep. Their likelihood of triggering has likely reduced with the recent warm temperatures, rain and subsequent re-freezing.

Snow depths are highly variable depending on elevation, and decrease rapidly below treeline.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow expected, southeast alpine wind 15 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -2°C.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with trace amounts of new snow expected, east alpine wind 15 to 30 km/h, treeline temperature -2°C.

Wednesday

Mostly cloudy with around 5 cm of new snow expected, southeast alpine wind 20 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature -1°C.

Thursday

Cloudy with 10 to 20 cm of new snow expected, southwest alpine wind 20 to 60 km/h, freezing level rising to 900 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent snow accompanied by southerly winds has formed wind slab in the alpine.

Aspects: North, North East, East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2