Avalanche Forecast

Low -

Hot days & warm nights look to be with us through at least Thursday. We're not expecting any kind of substantive re-freeze for the foreseeable future.SUNDAY NIGHT: Light east/southeast wind, freezing level near 3000 m, no precipitation, no overnight re-freeze.MONDAY: Clear skies, light southeast wind, freezing level holding at 3000 m, no precipitation, no overnight re-freeze.TUESDAY: Clear skies, light to moderate southeast wind, freezing level holding around 3000 m, no precipitation, no overnight re-freeze.WEDNESDAY: Clear skies, light southeast wind, freezing level around 2600 m, no precipitation, no overnight re-freeze.

On Sunday a few large avalanches were reported on solar aspects up the Railroad/Hurley Pass. On Saturday natural avalanches to size 2 were reported from solar aspects and several north aspects produced natural avalanches to size 1.5. As we enter a period of increased warming it's worth reminding ourselves that glide cracks are to be avoided at all times. They're incredibly unpredictable and when they fail, they often fail big. Glide avalanche concerns are especially important to consider in the Coquihalla area. A recent social media post from a professional in this part of the region does a great job of highlighting the issue. (Link here) A glide failed naturally on a southeast facing slope around 1000 m on Saturday.On Friday a skier triggered a small wind slab at treeline that resulted in a broken leg. A few small wind slabs were observed on north facing alpine terrain and some natural cornice failure is beginning to be be observed too.

Light amounts of new snow have been redistributed by southwesterly and northerly winds, potentially creating some unusual wind slabs, including on south-facing slopes. Beneath this recent snow you may find hard wind-affected snow at higher elevations, soft and faceted snow in shaded and sheltered areas, and melt-freeze crusts on southerly slopes. The middle and lower snowpack is generally well-settled. For Monday, we're most concerned about the upper 10 to 40 cm of snow.There may be bigger questions deeper in the snowpack. We're not expecting an overnight re-freeze for the forseeable future. That's going to allow the snowpack to warm which starts freeing up a lot of water which lubricates the upper snowpack. It also allows the upper snowpack to start creeping downhill at an accelerated rate. When it doesn't freeze overnight, this process gets turbo-charged. Could multiple hot days and warm nights wake up deeply buried weak layers that we haven't thought about for awhile? We're not sure, but now is probably a time to let the mountains do their thing from afar and check back in when the freezing level returns to seasonal norms which could happen by next weekend.