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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 10th, 2019–Feb 11th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Stiff wind slabs may still be reactive to human triggers. Lingering reactive wind slabs are most likely in wind-loaded areas: below ridgelines, under cornices, and around steep, unsupported features.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear with cloudy periods. Alpine temperatures near -17C. Ridgetop winds light from the east-northeast.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries, up to 5 cm accumulation. Alpine temperatures near -17C. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the northeast.TUESDAY: Cloudy with sunny breaks and isolated flurries, 5-15 cm accumulation with the larger snowfall amounts forecasted for the southern part of the forecast region. Alpine temperature near -20C. Ridgetop winds moderate from the northeast.WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Alpine temperatures near -13C. Ridgetop winds light from the northeast.

Avalanche Summary

Pockets of wind slab were reactive to skier traffic early in the week through Wednesday, when a few natural small wind slabs up to size 1 were reported in the northern part of the region. Most recently, loose dry sloughing snow was reported from steep, rocky features near ridge crest. There have been no recent reports of natural avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Heavy wind transport has produced scoured surfaces, hard and soft wind slabs, sastrugi, and isolated pockets of soft faceted snow. Most high north-northeasterly aspects are scoured and wind buffed, sheltered areas holding less consolidated snow and more likely on south and west aspects. Widespread wind slabs have developed in the alpine and treeline with deeper deposits lower in start zones. Wind has affected all elevations including a surface wind skin at lower elevations.Anywhere from 0-60 cm of this wind affected snow sits on wind-pressed surfaces on northerly alpine features, and crust on most aspects and found with a mixture of weak feathery surface hoar and/or sugary facets in sheltered terrain at treeline and below. Cold temperatures have promoted surface faceting and are breaking down the buried crust. Below the recent wind affected snow and crust, another crust is found down 50-80 cm that formed mid-January right to mountain top on southerly aspects and on all aspects below 1700 m. Additionally at this depth, feathery surface hoar may be found in shady sheltered areas at treeline, but with little reactivity.The remainder of the snowpack is generally well-settled.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Shifting winds have formed stiff pockets of wind slab at treeline and above. Deeper wind slab deposits may be found lower in start zones resulting from the recent intense wind event.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2