Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 6th, 2019 4:52PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Cornices.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeAs the stormy weather eases off and temperatures drop, the snowpack will begin to gain some strength. However, storm slabs are still likely to be encountered and could be reactive to human triggering, especially in wind loaded areas.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Wednesday
Weather Forecast
SUNDAY NIGHT - Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries / southwest winds, 15-35 km/h / alpine low temperature near -10MONDAY - Cloudy with sunny periods / west winds, 20-25 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10TUESDAY - A mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries / southeast winds, 15-20 km/h / alpine high temperature near -5 WEDNESDAY - Snow, up to 20 cm / southeast winds, 20-40 km/h / alpine high temperature near -2 / freezing level 1000 m
Avalanche Summary
On Sunday, numerous explosives triggered avalanches up to size 2 were reported in the region. Many of these were cornice failures.On Saturday, numerous natural avalanches to size 3 and explosives triggered avalanches to size 2.5, and one size 1 human triggered avalanche were reported in the region. On Friday, numerous explosives triggered avalanches to size 3 and one human triggered size 1.5 were reported. A group also reportedly remotely triggered a storm slab 20 m away with a 80-100 m crown.A widespread natural avalanche cycle up to size 3, and human triggered avalanches to size 2 were reported in the region on Thursday.
Snowpack Summary
The Sea to Sky region has received approximately 100-140 cm of recent storm snow with strong to extreme southerly winds. Cornices are growing and slab formation is likely widespread.At treeline and below, the storm snow sits on two weak layers that are down 80-100 cm and 150-200 cm. These layers consist of surface hoar (feathery crystals) in more sheltered areas and a crust on solar aspects and on all aspects below 1500m.In the lower snowpack, a weak layer of facets (sugary snow) is now over 200 cm deep. There have been no reports of avalanches on this layer for over a week, but it may still be reactive to heavy loads (such as a cornice fall) in isolated areas.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Slabs are likely to be most reactive in wind loaded areas.
Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong inicators of unstable snowpack.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Cornices
Recent new snow and strong to extreme wind southerly wind has promoted rapid cornice growth.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.Be aware of the potential for cornice failures to trigger slab avalanches.
Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 7th, 2019 2:00PM