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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 26th, 2022–Mar 27th, 2022
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Vancouver Island.

Mixed precipitation or rain overnight and into Sunday will increase the likelihood of wet avalanche activity. Take care on steep terrain features, especially where wet or heavy surface snow is present. 

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast precipitation (either snow or rain) amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with 5-10 cm of snow forecast, freezing levels remain around 1500 m with mixed precipitation and rain below. Moderate southerly winds. 

SUNDAY: Cloudy. 10 cm of snow possible over the day, freezing levels rise to around 1800 m. Rain at low elevations. Moderate to strong southerly winds. 

MONDAY: Freezing levels drop back towards 1500 m. 5-10 cm possible overnight. Clearing skies with scattered flurries. Moderate northerly winds. 

TUESDAY: Freezing levels rise toward 3000 m with mostly clear skies. Light southerly winds. 

Avalanche Summary

No avalanches have been reported in the last 2 days. 

Previously wet avalanche activity was noted throughout the Island, to size 2 in alpine and treeline features.

If you venture into the mountains, please share any observations on the Mountain Information Network. 

Snowpack Summary

Mixed precipitation and rain falls over a melt freeze crust on all aspects and elevations. The crust is likely to break down at lower elevations, with rainfall and as temperatures rise.

The snowpack below is considered well settled. In most areas, snowpack depths at below treeline elevations are below threshold for avalanche activity. 

A recent MIN report describes the state of the snowpack. 

Terrain and Travel

  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from rain.
  • Make observations and assess conditions continually as you travel.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

As rainfall and warm temperatures weaken the surface snow, wet avalanches become more likely. Avoid terrain features with wet and heavy surface snow. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2