Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 11th, 2025 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Loose Wet.
Avalanche Canada,
Avalanche Canada
Periods of low hazard can be a good time to explore complex terrain.If the snow surface is wet, loose wet avalanches may be possible.
Summary
Confidence
High
Avalanche Summary
The field team reported a small size 1 loose avalanche from steep terrain near Mt. Cain on Friday.
Looking forward, over the next few days we expect the likelihood of triggering loose wet avalanches to be possible during the warmest parts of the day.
Snowpack Summary
Up to 25 cm of snow fell at upper elevations on the north Island, with 5–15 cm elsewhere, likely turning to rain below 1300–1500 m. The new snow is bonding well, though wind slabs may linger on high elevation east slopes. Lower elevations and sunny slopes have wet or crusty snow, while dry snow may remain on shady alpine slopes. The snowpack is well-settled with some crust layers, and treeline depths average 200–300 cm.
Check out this MIN post from our field team visiting Mt. Cain on Friday for further snowpack details.
Weather Summary
Saturday Night
Clear. 45 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C. Freezing level 700 m.
Sunday
Sunny. 35 to 55 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +2 °C. Freezing level rising from 700 to 2400 m.
Monday
Mostly sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +3 °C. Freezing level 2600 m.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny. 35 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature +4 °C. Freezing level 2700 m.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
- Loose avalanches may start small, but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
- Be alert to conditions that change with elevation, aspect, and exposure to wind.
Problems
Loose Wet
Loose wet avalanches may be possible on sunny slopes and at elevations where temperatures remain above zero.
Aspects: South East, South, South West, West, North West.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 12th, 2025 4:00PM
