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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 16th, 2022–Feb 17th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

New snow has refreshed the skiing in some areas and good skiing is being found around treeline on shaded and sheltered aspects.

Weather Forecast

Thursday: Cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 4 cm. High -5 C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h gusting to 50 km/h

Friday: Cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 5 cm. Low -7 C, High -4 C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h gusting to 45 km/h

Saturday: Flurries. Accumulation: 6 cm. Low -10 C, High -7 C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h gusting to 60 km/h

Snowpack Summary

5 to 15cm new snow (past 48hrs) across the bulletin region accompanied by moderate Westerly winds has formed slabs in immediate lees in the alpine and exposed tree line. New snow burying weak temperature crust up to 1900m and solar crust on solar aspects up to 2800m. Dec Facets down 20-70cm. Basal faceting & depth hoar widespread throughout area.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity observed or reported over the last 3 days.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.