Avalanche forecast

South Rockies

Feb 24 – 25, 2019Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 8 years ago

Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Expect to find wind slabs at higher elevations on various aspects. Persistent slabs at lower elevations remain a concern and still have the potential for human triggering.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2
    Winds have shifted from southwest to easterly, new wind slabs may be found on a variety of aspects and cross-loaded features.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5
    A weak layer of surface hoar is buried around 50 to 80 cm, which is best preserved in shaded and sheltered areas between 1600 m and 1900 m.

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Alpine temperatures near -25C. Ridgetop winds light to moderate from the east.MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud and isolated flurries in the evening, trace to 8 cm accumulating into Tuesday. Alpine temperatures near -22C. Ridgetop winds moderate from the east-northeast.TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Alpine temperatures near -24C. Ridgetop winds moderate from the northeast.WEDNESDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods. Alpine temperatures near -15C. Ridgetop winds light from the east-northeast.

Confidence

Moderate - Wind effect is extremely variable

Avalanche Summary

Several large (size 2) wind slabs were triggered with explosives control in the Castle area on Friday after a bout of strong to extreme southwest winds. Slab depths ranged from 20-60 cm.A MIN report from Grizzly Peak in the Elkford area on Thursday describes a persistent slab failing on the mid-January persistent weak layer as a ski touring group ascended a steeper slope near treeline. See the report here.On Thursday in adjacent Waterton National Park a recent large (size 2) deep persistent slab avalanche was observed. It occurred on a steep feature below treeline that was noted for its thin snowpack and for being reverse loaded by winds.

Snowpack Summary

Wind slabs exist in open, exposed areas at higher elevations. They may be found on all aspects due to variable wind directions. A weak layer of surface hoar or faceted grains buried mid-January is 50 to 80 cm below the surface. It is found on shaded and sheltered slopes and is most prominent between 1600 m and 1900 m but has been found up to 2200 m. It may overly a melt-freeze crust on south aspects. Recent avalanche reports and snowpack test results suggest that this layer remains reactive to human triggers.The bottom half of the snowpack is composed of weak and sugary faceted snow crystals.

Regions covered