Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 2nd, 2018 3:46PM

The alpine rating is low, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada swerner, Avalanche Canada

Travel is RUGGED. Pockets of wind slab may exist on leeward slopes and terrain features. Its unlikely, but isolated terrain features that have a dense slab over a weak base is where you could still trigger an avalanche.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

The upper ridge is giving us a fairly benign weather pattern for the forecast period. MONDAY: Mix of sun and cloud alpine temperatures near -10/ generally light winds from the West/ freezing level valley TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud/ alpine temperatures near -12/ ridgetop winds light from the West/ freezing level valley bottomWEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud/ alpine temperatures -12/ ridgetop winds light from the northeast/ freezing level valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported in the region. Natural avalanche activity is unlikely, but its possible to trigger pockets of wind slab from leeward terrain features. If you have been out, please submit any observations to the Mountain Information Network MIN.

Snowpack Summary

The region received up to 20 cm of snow over the past week. Isolated pockets of stiff wind slab may exist on leeward slopes. Below the surface exists a series of crusts and a feathery surface hoar layer. We have a lot of uncertainty around the weak surface hoar layer and its distribution. I suspect it could exist on sheltered slopes in the alpine and at treeline. A mixed layer of melt-freeze crusts and sugary facets buried late October can be found at the base of the snowpack at treeline and in the alpine. This layer has not been active, but there is potential for slab avalanches on this layer given the current snowpack structure. Terrain features like smooth alpine bowls with variable snowpack depths would be most suspect.Average snowpack depths at treeline are near 50 cm and taper quickly as elevation decreases. Snow depths below tree line are generally below the threshold depth to produce avalanche.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Isolated pockets of wind slab may exist on the lee of exposed features at upper elevations. It may be possible to trigger an avalanche where a stiffer wind slab sits over a crust/ facet (sugary) base.
Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Increase your caution as you transition into wind affected terrain.If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1 - 1.5

Valid until: Dec 3rd, 2018 2:00PM