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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 25th, 2019–Apr 26th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Forecasts don't agree on how much snow is expected. Keep your eyes open and watch for changing conditions on Friday.

Weather Forecast

Parker Ridge:

Forecasts differ on snow amounts starting Friday night.

Friday: Periods of snow 15cm. Treeline Temp -1C. Light ridge winds 35km/h. Freezing Level 2100m

Saturday: Periods of snow 14cm. Treeline Temp low -8C, High -4C. Ridge winds NE 20km/h gusting 70km/h. Freezing Level 1500m

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing moderate to strong westerly winds have created fresh wind slabs in N to E features. The upper snowpack overlies several crusts / facet layers in the upper 40cm, and a faceted layer down 70cm on shady aspects. Expect unsupportive slush at lower elevations in the afternoon if the sun comes out.  Watch for building storm slabs in the PM.

Avalanche Summary

Recent whumfing in low angle alpine terrain.

1 size 1.5 Steep N aspect alpine, cornice triggered windslab that appears to have stepped down to a persistent layer.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Friday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.