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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 10th, 2021–Feb 11th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Rockies.

Good quality riding in low density snow is out there....but the consequences of injuries and accidents in this extreme cold requires conservative trip planning.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT - Darn cold and partly cloudy / light northeast wind / alpine high temperature near -35 

THURSDAY - Cold, mostly clear / light to moderate northeast wind / alpine high temperature near -25

FRIDAY - Still cold, partly cloudy / light to moderate northeast wind / alpine high temperature a balmy -20

SATURDAY - Increasing cloud / light north east wind / alpine high -19

Avalanche Summary

Neighbouring forecast regions reported a couple of cornice falls yesterday, as well as a natural wind slab out of extreme terrain. Ski cuts produced a size 1 avalanche in reverse loaded terrain. 

On Friday there was a report of a size 2 explosives triggered wind slab avalanche, as well as a few size 1 human triggered dry loose avalanches. There was also a report of several natural avalanches, potentially up to size 3, a MIN report outlining these can be found here.

Snowpack Summary

Surface faceting and surface hoar growth is occurring with clear nights and frigid temperatures. Variable winds have redistributed loose snow developing slabs in lee features.

A weak interface may exist in some locations approximately 60 cm down and could reach its threshold with wind loading, initiating a deeper slab. At this point, this interface seems spotty through the region and hasn't been as reactive as in the Lizard-Flathead region. However, it is something to keep on your radar.  

In most places 20-50 cm loose snow and soft slab overlies a handful of surfaces: wind affected snow at upper elevations and exposed terrain, softer snow in sheltered areas, and a crust on steep, solar slopes and below 1600-1900 m. 

A solid mid-pack sits above deeply buried decomposing crust and facet layers near the bottom of the snowpack (80-150 cm deep). Though unreactive under the current conditions, steep rocky slopes and shallow snowpacks should still be approached with caution.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be carefull with sluffing in steep terrain, especially above cliffs and terrain traps.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid areas where the snow feels stiff and/or slabby.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.