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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 6th, 2017–Jan 7th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Wind slabs are lingering at upper elevations. Analyze each slope for signs of wind loading and likely trigger points as you travel.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods, light southeast winds, alpine temperatures around -10.SUNDAY: Flurries starting in the afternoon, moderate southeast winds, alpine temperatures around -6MONDAY: Flurries with 5-15 cm of new snow, light west winds, alpine temperatures around -8.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Thursday. Wind slabs were reactive in the Duffey Lake area earlier in the week, including an avalanche involvement reported on the MIN and an explosive triggered wind slab. Be on the lookout for wind loaded pockets where reactive wind slabs may still be lingering.

Snowpack Summary

Recent cold temperatures and strong winds have left our snow surface a mix of soft wind slabs, hard wind slabs, sastrugi, faceted snow, and even some surface hoar. Wind slabs are the primary weakness of concern in our current snowpack. Last week's winds were primarily from the north, which reverse loaded many terrain features and formed stubborn wind slabs on southerly slopes in wind-exposed areas. For low snow areas such as the Chilcotins, two other layers of concern exist. One is a weak layer of snow from mid-December buried approximately 50 cm deep and other is an old rain crust from November buried 90-120 cm deep. Snowpack tests indicate these layers may be possible to trigger in shallow snowpack areas. Elsewhere, these layers are typically much deeper and are considered to be stable.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Northerly winds formed slabs behind exposed terrain features last week, especially on south to west aspects. Choose supported lines and be aware of the potential for hard slabs to fracture above you and propagate widely.
Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.Watch for areas of hard wind slab in steep alpine features.Choose well supported terrain and avoid convexities.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2