Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 8th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Parks Canada Jasper Snow Safety, Parks Canada

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Be cautious and assess each slope. The Icefields zone received 60cm of snow in a very short period on Jan 31. 

Natural avalanches are unlikely but human triggering remains possible. 

Summary

Weather Forecast

Sunday will be cloudy with isolated flurries, -10 °C and West winds 15 km/h gusting to 50 km/h. Monday will be similar to Sunday. 

See Weather synopsis here: Avalanche Canada Mountain Weather Forecast

Snowpack Summary

Up to 60 cm of snow fell Jan 31st to Feb 1st in the forecast region. SW winds are creating windslabs with the new snow. The mid-pack bridging over deeper instabilities is supporting the new load over the basal facets and depth hoar. This new load and bridging has not been field tested thus treat the snowpack with caution.

Avalanche Summary

One size 3 noted on Camp 3 West mountain on the Parkway initiated by cornice failure triggering windslab and entrained significant volume in the lower gully walls. Visibility was good and nothing else noted. Maligne patrol observed numerous size 2 WSL steep alpine terrain. Thursday's patrol noted a couple of size 2.5-3 windslabs.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

New and developing wind slabs are present in the forecast region. Their sensitivity will vary particularly with local loading and wind patterns.

  • Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.
  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

Shallow snowpack zones and/or large triggers such as cornice failures could trigger this deep layer. The consequences would be severe!

  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Assess start zones carefully and use safe travel techniques.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Feb 9th, 2020 4:00PM

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