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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 10th, 2015–Mar 11th, 2015
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Jasper.

If the sun comes out from behind the clouds, extended sunny periods will increase the avalanche danger at all elevations.

Weather Forecast

Overcast skies and light snow flurries will occur in the Icefields area with only light accumulations. Temperatures will be colder through Tuesday night and then will rise again with poor overnight recovery in the townsite area. Temperatures will be warmer with less snow closer to the Jasper townsite. Moderate SW winds will continue.

Snowpack Summary

A supportive mid pack consisting of rounded and facetted layers is bridging the weak depth hoar/facet layers that make up the lower snowpack. Wind slabs continue to develop in sheltered alpine locations from moderate to strong SW winds.

Avalanche Summary

A single size 1 loose avalanche occurred in the alpine on a solar aspect originating out of rock cliffs.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Moderate SW winds continue to  redistribute the snow into slabs on sheltered aspects and cross loaded features in the alpine.
Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Loose Wet

Overcast conditions are unlikely to lead to any overnight refreeze of the snow pack at lower elevations. As such, solar aspects BTL could be prone to loose snow slides whenever the sun makes an appearance.
Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

Natural and human triggering is unlikely but it is still a good practice to avoid steep, open, rocky slopes with a shallow snowpack.
Caution around convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3