Avalog
Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Register
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 28th, 2018–Dec 29th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Watch for windslabs developing with the storm tomorrow. Avalanches could step down into basal weaknesses creating larger than expected events. Whumphing is common and indicates the potential for propagation. Avoid avalanche terrain for a while again.

Weather Forecast

There is great variability in the weather models. Environment Canada is calling for 20cm of snow and high winds on Saturday. Touchy avalanche conditions can be expected as the day progresses, especially in lee areas. If less than 10cm of snow falls, the size of potential avalanches will be greatly reduced..

Snowpack Summary

The majority of the BYK region is a 40-50cm slab of stiff snow overlying 40-50cm of weak facets and depth hoar. This nasty combination has been stabilizing over the past few days but continues to produce whumphing and easy test results. Deeper snowpack areas are stronger, but have a 60-80cm slab over top of the Dec10 surface hoar/facet layer.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported in the Banff, Yoho and Kootenay region on Friday.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

This problem dominates the central and eastern part of the forecast region and will continue to do so for some time. Natural activity on this layer has decreased but human triggered avalanches on this layer are still possible.
Be wary of large slopes that did not previously avalanche.Use caution in lee areas. Wind loading could create slabs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3