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Avalanche Forecast

Dec 27th, 2017–Dec 28th, 2017
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Posted danger ratings are for Thursday morning. The avalanche danger is forecast to increase throughout the day and could become High by the afternoon.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday

Weather Forecast

Wednesday night: 10-15cm of new snow / Strong southwest winds / Alpine temperature of -5Thursday: 20-30cm of new snow / Strong southwest winds / Alpine temperature of -5Friday: Mix of sun and cloud in the morning with 5-10cm of snow falling later in the day / Light and variable winds / Alpine temperature of -6Saturday: Mix of sun and cloud / Light and variable winds / Alpine temperature of -10

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported. Looking forward, snow and wind forecast for the next few days will likely promote a new round of storm slab activity.

Snowpack Summary

By Thursday morning, up to 15cm of new snow is expected to have fallen. Strong southwest winds are forecast to shift these accumulations into much deeper deposits in high elevation lee terrain.The new snow covers a medley of surfaces which include stubborn wind slabs and wind-scoured exposed crust in the alpine, and soft unconsolidated snow in sheltered areas at treeline and below. Up to 40cm below the surface you'll likely find a widespread melt-freeze crust that was buried on December 15th. This layer hasn't produced much in the way of avalanche activity, but could come to life with the additional load of new snowfall, especially in areas where loose facets exist above the crust.Beneath the December 15th layer, the lower snowpack is generally strong and well settled.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Steady snowfall and strong winds are forecast to create reactive new storm slabs throughout the day on Thursday. Watch for increased reactivity in higher elevation lee terrain. As new snow depths increase, so will the avalanche danger.
Be alert to conditions that change throughout the dayBe cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Avoid all avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2