Avalog
Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Register
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 12th, 2018–Jan 13th, 2018
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Natural avalanche activity can be expected if the sun makes an appearance on Saturday.

Confidence

Moderate - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Overcast with possible sunny breaks in the afternoon / Light and variable winds / Freezing level rising to 2300mSunday: Clear skies / Light and variable winds / Freezing level at 2900mMonday: 10-15mm of precipitation / Moderate southerly winds / Freezing level at 2300m

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday a size 1 storm slab was accidentally skier-triggered in high, north-facing terrain at the south end of the Squamish-Cheakamus divide. No other avalanches were reported. Looking forward, expect a new round of storm slab activity in response to new snow and strong winds on Friday night. If forecast warming and solar radiation arrives early, loose wet avalanches can also be expected.

Snowpack Summary

Strong southeast winds and snowfall on Friday are expected to form new storm slabs in exposed lee terrain. Below the new storm snow, you'll find about 25-50 cm of relatively low-density snow which overlies a thick crust that was buried on January 6. This crust exists up to about 2000m. Beneath the January 6 crust, the lower snowpack is generally strong and well settled.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and wind on Friday is expected to form new storm slabs and increase the avalanche danger. Watch for increased reactivity in exposed lee terrain. If the sun makes an appearance on Saturday, loose wet avalanches can also be expected.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.The new snow may require a few days to settle and stabilize.Use extra caution on solar slopes or if the snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2