Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Mar 29, 2018Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 9 years ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
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Highlights

Intense winds have blown loose snow into wind slabs on all aspects and elevations. Watch for bouts of sunshine to destabilize slabs and remember that natural cornice falls triggering slabs have been a regular occurrence.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2
    Strong and shifting winds have redistributed our storm snow into reactive wind slabs in wind-affected areas at all elevations. Slabs may also be reactive in steeper, sheltered areas where the recent snow sits on surface hoar.

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5
    Large looming cornices exist across ridgelines. Cornices are unpredictable and demand respect. They're more likely to fail during wind events or when the sun comes out. Natural cornice falls have recently been observed triggering slab avalanches.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light west winds. Freezing level to 1600 metres with alpine high temperatures around -3.Friday: Cloudy with flurries bringing about 7 cm of new snow. Moderate to strong west winds decreasing over the day. Freezing level to 1600 metres with alpine high temperatures around -3.Saturday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light east winds. Freezing level to 1400 metres with alpine high temperatures around -5.

Avalanche Summary

Three more natural cornice releases were observed triggering size 2 storm slabs in the Fernie area on Monday.Reports from Sunday included numerous observations of recent large (size 2-2.5) natural storm slab releases in the Fernie area. Another round of explosives control yielded similar results, with slab depths generally from 30-70 cm. All but southwest aspects showed activity above 1800 metres and northeast aspects were the most active. Two natural cornice releases were also observed triggering slabs on the slopes they landed on.Cornice control on Saturday work gave numerous size 1-2 avalanches on north through southeast ridgelines. above 1900m. The cornice failures produced mostly loose dry avalanches from the slopes below with a few smaller slabs only releasing in the storm snow. On Friday, numerous natural storm slab avalanches were reported from north aspects above 1700 m.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of recent storm snow has been gradually forming a more reliable bond with the old snow surfaces it buried, including a melt-freeze crust on sunny aspects and all aspects below 1600 m as well as surface hoar on north aspects above 1600 m. Wind slabs are building on most aspects due to the changing winds and overhanging cornices exist along ridgelines. Natural cornice falls triggering large avalanches has been a trend for the past few days.Deeper in the snowpack, the mid-December and late-November weak layers are composed of crusts and sugary facets, which are down 150-300 cm. These layers are currently considered dormant.

Regions covered