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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2015–Mar 13th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

In eastern areas of the forecast region (Banff area), the danger rating will be higher as repeated days of warm weather with little overnight recovery is taking its toll on the snowpack. Temperatures have been cooler along the continental divide.

Weather Forecast

Friday should be partly cloudy with a weak freeze in the AM but some clouds to keep the solar radiation at bay. Forecasts are calling for a short but intense storm starting Saturday around noon which should deposit 20 - 30 cm's of new snow above 2000m with rain below. Alpine winds will be moderate to strong from the W/ SW throughout the period.

Snowpack Summary

There is a wide range of conditions from east to west at this time. Eastern areas (Banff) are subject to the warm temperatures which are effecting the snowpack on S and W aspects. Further west the temperatures have remained cool enough that treeline and alpine snowpacks have remained solid and new snow has made fresh windslabs in the alpine.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported today.

Confidence

Timing of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.