Avalanche forecast

Salt River and Wyoming Ranges

Bridger-Teton Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Avalanche activity increased yesterday providing a clear indication that recent snow is unstable on steep slopes. Triggering an avalanche will be likely again today, as avalanches will be small in the middle elevations and larger the higher you travel in elevation. Avoid steep slopes on consequential terrain, especially in the upper elevations. Seek lower angle terrain and assess recent snow instability above 7500’.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Recent snow combined with gusty SW wind around 20 mph formed reactive slabs 1-2 feet deep. Slabs could be up to 3 feet deep in isolated areas in the upper elevations. Several poor interfaces exist near the top of the snowpack resulting in unstable recent snow, as seen yesterday with numerous avalanches above 7500’ primarily on steep northerly aspects. Expect to see similar reactivity today and keep in mind that avalanches will be larger or more dangerous in the upper elevations due to higher amounts of recent snow and stronger wind. Avoid wind loaded terrain where you encounter obvious signs of wind drifted snow including cracking or stiffened surfaces and large pillows. Look for wind drifted snow on leeward slopes off ridgelines and cross loaded slopes adjacent to large wind funnels such as large creeks and canyons. Confined features such as couloirs can also entrain more snow even if small avalanches are triggered. In addition, watch for increased activity on slopes facing the sun due solar influence by the afternoon if skies clear.

    (3/28/2024)

    Signs and snow features to look for when identifying wind loaded terrain

    Photo: Alex Drinkard

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    2–3

    Weak snow that formed in December persists at the base of the snowpack across the entire Greys River forecast zone. However, the thickness of the hard slabs that overlay this weak snow varies based on geographic location. In the Salt, Snake River, and deeper portions of the Wyoming Range, these weak layers are buried 3-5+ feet deep making it unlikely for a human to impact them. In shallow parts of the forecast zone, such as the far eastern side of the Wyoming Range, these slabs are only 2-3 feet thick making it more possible for humans to trigger avalanches on the buried weak layers. Shallow, rocky, and unsupported terrain on the north half of the compass is where you are most likely to impact weak layers. Keep in mind that a large trigger such as a cornice fall could trigger one of these very large avalanches, even in areas where the snowpack is deep.

    Identify thin areas in the Greys River zone as you ride. Probing or digging can provide useful information about the depth of the weak layers preserved at the bottom of the snowpack. This evaluation is critical if you are riding in a shallow part of the zone. A total snow depth of less than 5 feet (150cm) is a red flag.

    The last reported human-triggered avalanche involving deeply buried weak layers occurred on March 9th on the far eastern side of the Wyoming Range.

    (3/9/2024)

    The last reported human triggered persistent slab avalanche occurred on the far eastern side of the Wyoming Range.

Avalanche Discussion

Yesterday we saw an increase in avalanche activity due to rapid loading of new snow with rates of an inch per hour with around 5-7” of new snow in the last 24 hours in the middle and upper elevations of the Greys. This rapid loading was combined with sustained W/SW wind up to 20-30 mph and gusts above 40 mph. Multiple poor interfaces exist in the top portion of the snowpack including facet and crust combinations buried 3/21 and 3/23. Most of the avalanches appeared to be failing on the upper interface on northerly aspects. Due to the uncertainty in the poor interfaces, expect to see similar avalanche conditions today. We will continue to track these interfaces. Performing quick hand shear tests and assessing the recent snow instability on these interfaces will be critical before committing to a slope. Remember that avalanche danger will increase the higher you travel in elevation. Most avalanches reported yesterday were D1 or less. These small avalanches can knock you off your feet or machine and result in serious consequences. Avalanches in the upper elevations will be large enough to bury a person and have more serious consequences. Slopes above 35° will be most dangerous today. Don’t let the clear skies and good visibility lure you into more complex or challenging terrain. Enjoy the fresh powder and play it safe out there.

Regions covered