Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 6th, 2013 8:25AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ccampbell, Avalanche Canada

This forecast is based on limited field observations. If you head into the mountains, please send a note to forecaster@avalanche.ca and let us know what you saw.

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Mainly sunny with some thin cloud possible, moderate northwesterly alpine winds. Treeline temperatures expected to be around -20. Sunday: Increasing cloud with light flurries possible in the evening. Moderate northwest alpine winds and treeline temperatures around -15. Monday: Cloudy with light flurries possible. Moderate northwest alpine winds and treeline temperatures around -15.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported but incoming field data is still very limited. Recent reports from the neighbouring Monashee Mtns are limited to natural and human triggered sluffs in steep terrain and 1 Size 1.5 explosive-triggered wind slab avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack depths are likely highly variable across the region, with elevation, and in wind-exposed areas. Low-elevation and wind-affected areas likely have a shallow faceted snowpack. While in higher elevation sheltered areas 30-50 cm of recent storm snow overlies a variety of old snow surfaces including surface hoar in sheltered areas and/or sun crust on steep south facing slopes. In some neighbouring areas the buried surface hoar is giving easy to moderate sudden planar compression test results, while elsewhere the storm snow has yet to settle into a sufficiently cohesive slab. There are two distinct weaknesses within the mid and lower snowpack: the early November surface hoar/facet/crust interface is down roughly half way (50-60cm) and the October rain crust is near the ground. Recent snowpack tests gave easy results on the early November mid-pack interface where it was found to be facets under a crust. Cold clear weather is likely promoting surface hoar growth and near surface faceting.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Outflow winds are reverse-loading and cross-loading exposed slopes forming fresh and touchy wind slabs below ridge crests and behind terrain features. Don't let wind slabs in unusual places catch you by surprise.
Avoid traveling in areas that have been reverse-loaded or cross-loaded by winds.>Avoid freshly wind loaded features.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.>Use extra caution around convexities or large unsupported slopes.>Use extra caution in areas with a thin or variable snowpack.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 5

Valid until: Dec 7th, 2013 2:00PM

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