Avalanche forecast

Arthur's Pass

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
3 · Considerable
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired last month. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

With a slow clearance tomorrow, storm slab is the main concern after all the new snow, but if the sun starts to shine, greenhousing could increase the loose wet hazard quickly. Think about the terrain above you and avoid runout zones.

Conservative route choices are a good idea tomorrow to allow the new snow time to settle.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    More snow forecast tomorrow, with gale winds. Expect the storm slab hazard to stay elevated tomorrow.

  • Loose Wet

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5

    If the sun comes out tomorrow, watch for green-housing that will increase the loose wet avalanche hazard quickly.

Recent Avalanche Activity

Nothing reported in the last few days. If you see anything, please report it in the public observations section of the NZAA website.

Current Snowpack Conditions

125mm of rain has fallen in the last 3days, with snow above 2100m and gale NW winds. Below 2000m, there was limited new snow as the freezing level fluctuated. Above 2000m, limited snow existed before 80cm of snow fell last week, which had a few days to settle. Limited layers of concern exist within the old snow.

Mountain Weather

Showers, clearing in the afternoon. Winds: westerly gale 65 km/h, easing to 40 km/h in the afternoon. Freezing level 2000 metres, lowering to 1700 metres before dawn, then lifting to 2000 metres at night.

Sliding Danger

Expect firm areas from strong winds, mostly on ridge lines and high points. Crampons and ice axe a good idea for ridge travel.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain about forecast precipitation amounts.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered