Avalanche forecast

Arthur's Pass

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory
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Avalanche danger

High Alpine · above 1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Alpine · 1,200 m–1,800 m
2 · Moderate
Sub Alpine · below 1,200 m
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 weeks ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Rapid warming has settled the snowpack but beware loose wet avalanches on sunny aspects.

Isolated pockets of windslab may linger lee to the Northerly half.

Maintain situational awareness as conditions change through the day.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5

    If the sun comes out with intensity on Tuesday then loose wet hazard will rise on sunny slopes.

    Be careful in steep terrain.

    On all sun-facing slopes beware of what is above you because it could come down on top of you .

  • Wind Slabs

    • All elevations
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1

    There may still be pockets of windslab out there on slopes lee to the Northerly half. Stiffer snow indicates windslab. Avoid convex rolls and steep unsupported terrain.

Recent Avalanche Activity

No avalanche activity reported.

If you see anything, please report it in the public observations section of the NZAA website.

Current Snowpack Conditions

A storm between 7-9 August dropped up to 55cm of snow at the highest elevations, but on 10 August a warm day led to significant consolidation in the snowpack. Below about 1700m the snowpack will have received some rain-on-snow during this last storm and below that is a largely settled older snow pack that continues to gain strength. There are wind stripped surfaces at higher elevations on most aspects. The threshold for avalanches is estimated at around 1500m in the west, tapering east.

Mountain Weather

Forecast for Tuesday 11 August

Mainly fine, some morning and evening cloud.

Wind at 1000 metres

Northeasterly 30 km/h.

Wind at 2000 metres

Light. Northeasterly 30 km/h developing in the morning, rising to 50 km/h in the afternoon.

Freezing level

1500 metres, lifting to 1800 metres in the morning.

Sliding Danger

Expect areas to be stripped back to hard surfaces from the gale winds at higher elevations. Crampons and an ice axe are a good idea, as many firmer areas now exist.

Forecast Confidence

Moderate

  • We are uncertain due to variable freezing levels.
  • We are uncertain whether the wind will be enough to form new wind slabs.

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory (NZ Mountain Safety Council)

Regions covered