Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Nov 28th, 2019 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSunny and cold conditions in the forecast for the remainder of the week. Watch for lingering pockets of wind slab around ridge tops.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.
Weather Forecast
Thursday Night: Clear skies, light wind from the northeast, alpine temperatures around -12 C.
Friday: Clear skies, moderate wind from the northeast, alpine temperatures rising to -9 C.
Saturday: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind from the southwest, alpine temperature -9 C.
Sunday: Increasing cloud in the afternoon, moderate wind from the southwest, alpine temperature -7 C.
Avalanche Summary
A MIN report from Wednesday at Kootenay Pass noted a remotely skier triggered size 1 wind slab avalanche at ridge top around treeline. Ridge tops and slopes where the wind has deposited blowing snow are places where avalanches could most likely be triggered right now. Early season avalanches can most easily propagate and run in areas where the underlying ground is smooth, such as on glaciers, rock slabs, scree, or grassy slopes.
Observations are limited this time of year, so there is a fair bit of uncertainty about the extent of current avalanche activity. If you see anything while out in the field, please consider sharing that information with us and fellow recreationists via the Mountain Information Network (MIN).
Snowpack Summary
A recent MIN report from Kootenay Pass describes wind loaded ridge tops, scoured windward aspects in the alpine, and variable alpine snow depths with up to 50 cm overlying the rain crust. They also found well preserved powder skiing below treeline. Underneath this snow lies a lower snow pack largely characterized by sandwiches of crusts and large, weak snow crystals (facets), as observed in another recent MIN report. We're also keeping an eye on a potential surface hoar layer (see video here). With few field observations, uncertainty remains on the distribution and reactivity of these layers. It's still early season and the snow pack remains fairly thin, especially at lower elevations.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind has varied in direction in the previous week so wind slabs may be found on all aspects, especially near ridge tops.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Nov 29th, 2019 5:00PM