Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 5th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada trettie, Avalanche Canada

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Updated on Monday at 6:25 AM: Forecast snowfall amounts for Monday have increased. New snow and wind will create dangerous conditions, especially around wind-loaded slopes.

Summary

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

On Friday a natural avalanche cycle up to size 3 took place in the south west corner of the forecast region. These avalanches failed on the late January crust.

If you are out in the backcountry please consider filling out a Mountain Information Network report.

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing snowfall and southwest winds have accumulated around 40 cm of storm snow that is being blown into wind slabs. This all sits on a crust from the warming event on January 25th. New snow likely will not bond well to this crust.

The mid and lower snowpack continues to bond and stabilize. A few concerning weak layers can still be found in the top meter of the snowpack including a surface hoar layer from early January and a crust from late December.

Weather Summary

Sunday

Flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Strong southwest winds and temperatures at 1500m around -1.

Monday

Increasing cloud throughout the day with 10 to 25 cm of new snow expected. Strong southwest winds and freezing levels rising to 1700m.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy with flurries bringing up to 5cm of new snow. Light southerly winds and freezing levels falling to valley bottom.

Wednesday

A mix of sun and cloud with no new snow expected. Light to moderate southwest winds and a high of -6 at 1500m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for changing conditions today, storm slabs may become increasingly reactive.
  • Dial back your terrain choices if you are seeing more than 20 cm of new snow.
  • Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
  • Avoid steep, rocky, and wind effected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

New snow and ongoing southwest winds are forming reactive storm slabs throughout the day on Monday.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

A number of buried weak layers remain possible to trigger. These layers appear to be most problematic in upper treeline and alpine elevations, in shallow, variable, rocky start zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Feb 6th, 2023 4:00PM

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