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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 2nd, 2016–Jan 3rd, 2016
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Sea To Sky.

Low Danger does not mean No Danger. Make observations continually as you travel.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Monday

Weather Forecast

Expect mainly clear skies on Sunday with light southeast winds and freezing levels at about 1000m. Cool and unsettled weather is expected on Monday and Tuesday; however, snowfall amounts are highly uncertain. Models are currently suggesting anywhere from 0-15cm for both days. Winds on Monday and Tuesday should be generally moderate for the southeast with freezing levels at about 1000m.

Avalanche Summary

Solar-induced loose wet avalanches to size 1.5 released naturally over the last few days in response to solar radiation and warming at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

A new layer of surface hoar and near surface facetting has developed, and we will need to track it's distribution before the next snow arrives. The last few days of clear skies, solar radiation, and warm air trapped at higher elevations has settled the recent storm snow. Southerly aspects have seen enough sun and warmth to become moist or wet, and a melt-freeze crust has likely formed with cooling. Some wind transported snow continues to form thin wind slabs on various aspects.The mid and lower snowpack are generally strong and well-settled.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Thin wind slabs are most likely on south aspects in the alpine, but may be found on other aspects due to changing wind directions.
Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.>Stay off recent wind loaded areas until the slope has had a chance to stabilize.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2