Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 16th, 2024 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada bchristie, Avalanche Canada

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Start on small slopes, and downgrade your objective if you find signs of instability like shooting cracks or whumpfs.

Touchy slabs have been surprising backcountry users.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, several large (up to size 2.5) natural and rider triggered wind slab avalanches were reported. These occurred mostly on north through east aspects in the alpine.

On Wednesday, several rider-triggered slab were reported on all aspects at treeline and above, up to size 2.

Recently, avalanches have surprised people with wider than expected propagation and remote triggering from afar. See example in photo.

Snowpack Summary

Depending on temperature and time of day, a sun crust or moist snow will likely exist on steep south facing aspects. The alpine is generally wind-affected. In sheltered terrain, 15 to 25 cm of snow overlies a variety of surfaces including a weak layer of small surface hoar and/or another thin sun crust on solar aspects.

The widespread crust buried in early February is down 30 to 50 cm and has recently been touchy to human and machine triggers. In most places this crust is widespread up to 2400 m.

Weather Summary

Friday Night

Clear. No new snow expected. Light southeast ridgetop wind, possibly moderate on the western side of the forecast area. Treeline temperature around -5 °C. Possible temperature inversion.

Saturday

Sunny. No new snow expected. Light southeast ridgetop wind, possibly moderate on the western side of the forecast area. Treeline temperature around -2 °C. Possible temperature inversion.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy. No new snow expected. Light southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature dropping to around -6 °C. Temperature inversion starting to break down.

Monday

Partly cloudy. 0-1 cm of snow expected. Light southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature around -5 °C. Freezing level rising to between 1000 m and 1500 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind slabs, especially in steep, unsupported and/or convex terrain features.
  • Choose slopes that are well supported and have limited consequence.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

In some places, windslab avalanches are failing on or gouging down to the hard, frozen crust formed in early February.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Valid until: Feb 17th, 2024 4:00PM

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