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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 10th, 2019–Mar 11th, 2019
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Lizard-Flathead.

Low danger is different than no danger. Continue to use normal caution and standard safety practices.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Dry. Light to moderate westerly wind.MONDAY: Dry and mostly sunny. Daytime treeline temperatures around -5 C. Moderate southwesterly winds.TUESDAY: Cloudy. Light southwest wind. Treeline temperatures around -3 C. Light to moderate acumulations of snow starting before sunrise and continuing through Tuesday night. Storm snow accumulations of 10 to 20 cmWEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Dry. Treeline temperatures remaining between -5 and zero. Light easterly wind.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Friday or Saturday. Small loose wet avalanches are likely on south-facing slopes. Small dry loose avalanches are likely on steep terrain elsewhere. Slab avalanches are likely to be confined to extreme terrain features under current conditions.

Snowpack Summary

Light new snow amounts have buried a mix of hard and soft wind slabs in open alpine terrain as well as pockets of soft snow in sheltered and shaded areas. The new snow has also buried widespread sun crusts of varying thickness on south-facing slopes.The upper- and mid-pack is slowly weakening with cold temperatures and faceting. That means it's transforming into a "single layer" of more sugary faceted grains with various hardness. It's also progressively reducing the properties of an overlying slab above these weak layers and diminishing concern for their potential to produce avalanches.There are up to three layers of surface hoar within the top 100cm of the snowpack; however, they're disappearing and becoming less of a concern. Where they still exist, these layers are most likely to be found between 1600 and 1900 m with the top one the most prominent, about 50 cm below the surface.The lower snowpack is maintaining strength in deeper snowpack areas but I doubt that's the case in shallow areas.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Small wind slabs are confined to aggressive terrain in exposed areas.
Use caution on steep, wind-loaded slopes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 1.5