Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 13th, 2019–Apr 14th, 2019

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low

Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low

Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Jasper.

If you go exploring watch out for localized convective snowfalls.

Weather Forecast

5cm of snow is forecast at the Parker Ridge area overnight Saturday into Sunday. Treeline will be windy with 20-45 km/h westerlys. Freezing level will be around 1700m with a high of -5C. Expect the same closer to Jasper except with less snow. Note that forecast snow amounts have been inaccurate over the past week

Snowpack Summary

Forecast winds and snow could create windslabs in the alpine. A supportive crust exists to 2,100m on all aspects and extends into the alpine on solar slopes. A winter snowpack remains on N aspects above treeline. At upper elevations a weak faceted layer down 20-50cm remains a concern. The snowpack sits on a weak base of facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Signs of cornice failures up to size 2 have been reported and a large serac triggered avalanche was witnessed off the south side of Mt. Kitchner on Thursday. Large whumpfs on the ridge of Mt. Wilcox were also reported on Thursday.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Fresh snow and moderate winds could create windslabs in the alpine

Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from wind.Use caution in lee areas. Wind loading could create slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

Evidence from recent snowpack tests and whumphing would suggest that a weak layer of facets persists down 20-50cm in some areas, and may be becoming reactive with incremental loading from recent small snowfalls.

Whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent avalanches are all strong inicators of unstable snowpack.Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, North West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1.5 - 2.5