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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 18th, 2025–Jan 19th, 2025
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Seek out sheltered, low-angle terrain while the recent storm snow settles.

Human-triggered avalanches are likely, with deep instabilities that have produced large avalanches recently.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Friday, avalanches up to 200 m wide on steep, shady slopes were reported in the Shames backcountry. Get more details here. Several size 2 wind slab avalanches on east and southeast slopes in the alpine were also reported throughout the region.

Thursday, a natural avalanche cycle up to size 3 occurred.

Natural avalanche activity will taper but human-triggered avalanches are likely through the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

Earlier this week, the storm dropped 30 to 80 cm of snow across the region. At upper elevations, the surface is wind-affected. Reports suggest soft surface snow, with sluffing, on sheltered slopes and at lower elevations.

Expect to find deeper deposits of reactive wind slab on east and northeast slopes. Changing winds may start to load south-facing slopes throughout the weekend. The recent storm snow tapers dramatically with elevation, where 5 to 10 cm sits above a firm melt-freeze crust.

50 to 100 cm deep a layer of surface hoar, facets, or a thin crust exists.

A persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets overlying a crust is buried 120 to 200 cm deep.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Clear. 30 to 40 km/h north ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

Sunday

Mostly clear. 10 to 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C. An above-freezing layer in the alpine.

Monday

Few clouds. 20 to 40 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5.

Tuesday

Cloudy with trace snow. 30 to 40 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Choose low-angled, sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction, so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Back off if you encounter whumpfing, hollow sounds, or shooting cracks.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs. Potential remains for slabs to step down to deeper persistent weak layers.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

A widespread crust with weak facets overtop is buried 120-200 cm deep. While this layer exists on all aspects, it's most likely to be triggered by a heavy load on wind-loaded slopes.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5