Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Upper range snowfall amounts are expected for areas in the southern part of the region.TONIGHT: Snow. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind moderate, southwest. Temperature -5. Freezing level 800 m.SATURDAY: Snow. Accumulation 15-30 cm. Ridge wind moderate, southwest. Temperature -4. Freezing level 900 m.SUNDAY: Snow. Accumulation 20-40 cm. Ridge wind strong, southwest. Temperature -4. Freezing level 900 m.MONDAY: Flurries. Accumulation 5-15 cm. Ridge wind moderate, southwest. Temperature -5. Freezing level 800 m.

Explosive control work on Friday produced only a few size 1 and isolated size 2 avalanches failing in the recent storm snow or running on the recently buried January 15th crust. On Thursday there were reports of natural avalanches up to size 2.5, while ski cuts and explosive control work produced numerous size 1-1.5, and up to size 2, storm slab avalanches 20-50 cm deep on predominantly northerly aspect, running far and wide within the recent storm snow.Wednesday ski cutting and explosive control work produced numerous easily triggered size 1 storm slab results up to 40 cm deep running on the January 15th crust. And on Tuesday, explosive control work and ski cutting produced numerous size 1-1.5 storm slab releases on leeward aspects at treeline and into the alpine, running on the January 15th crust.

Above 1400 m elevation, 50-70 cm of storm snow overlies the January 15th crust which is present at all elevations. This crust is thin on northerly aspects and up to 3 cm thick on solar aspects. Below this crust 30-40 cm of moist, well settled snow overlies the January 6th crust which is now buried about 100 cm below the surface and exists up to about 2000m. Beneath the January 6th crust, the lower snowpack is generally strong and well settled.