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Avalanche Forecast

Feb 9th, 2020–Feb 10th, 2020
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast Inland.

Shifting wind during the recent storm formed wind slabs on all aspects at treeline and in the alpine. Wind slabs might still be sensitive to human triggers.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, light to moderate north wind, alpine high -8 C, freezing level 1200 m.

Monday: Mix of sun and cloud, light northwest wind, alpine high -5 C, freezing level 1500 m.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries, light to moderate westerly wind, alpine high -5 C, freezing level 1200 m.

Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud, light westerly wind, alpine high -6 C, freezing level 1100 m.

Avalanche Summary

A few skier and naturally triggered avalanches of size 1 and size 2 were reported on Saturday. Some of these avalanches released on the crust underneath the recent storm snow (see this MIN report). 

No new avalanches were reported on Thursday and Friday.

The deep persistent slab avalanche activity observed in the beginning of February in the northern portion of the region seems to have tapered off. Although the likelihood of triggering has reduced there is still concern for deep releases in that part of the region.

Snowpack Summary

Friday's storm delivered 20-30 cm in the south of the region and 10-15 cm in the north. Strong southerly wind during the storm shifted to northerly wind and created wind slabs on all aspects. The snow surface is wind affected at treeline and in the alpine. The recent storm snow sits on a rain crust below 1900 m.

In the north part of the region (ie. Goldbridge/Duffey/Hurley), a few deep instabilities exist in the snowpack, including a weak basal facet crust complex. There has not been recent avalanche activity on these layers but they remain a concern and are on our radar. 

The south of the region, including the Coquihalla and Manning areas, currently have no concerns about deeply buried weak layers.

Terrain and Travel

  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.
  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Friday's storm delivered 20-30 cm in the south of the region and 10-15 cm in the north. The wind changed direction during the storm from southwest to northerly and created wind slabs on all aspects at treeline and in the alpine. These wind slabs might still be sensitive to human triggers. 

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2