Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 11th, 2015–Jan 12th, 2015

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Rockies.

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Confidence

Fair - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

A dry ridge of high pressure will dominate the region for the period. Valley cloud may develop, although generally clear skies are expected at higher elevations. Winds are forecast to remain light from the northwest, while freezing levels should hover at (or near) valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanches have been reported.

Snowpack Summary

A dusting of new snow may overlie a melt-freeze crust which exists below treeline and on south-facing slopes. In upper elevation terrain, these modest accumulations overlie hard, stubborn wind slabs. Up to 75 cm below the surface you may find a hard, thick crust which formed mid-December. This crust has overlying facets and/or surface hoar. This layer seems variably reactive throughout the region. In areas where the overlying slab is thick and cohesive, large avalanches are possible at this interface. A crust/facet combo which formed in November seems to have gone dormant for the time being.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Storm accumulations from last week have likely gained significant strength, although lingering wind slabs may still be sensitive to human triggering in high elevation lee terrain.

Highmark or enter your line well below ridge crests to avoid wind loaded pillows.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

A buried persistent weakness, down 30-70 cm, should remain on your radar as it has the potential to produce large avalanches.

Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack where triggering could be more likely.>Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 4