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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 2nd, 2013–Jan 3rd, 2013
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be low
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Fair - Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Wednesday night and Thursday: An upper ridge persists on the region bringing dry conditions, moderate to strong winds from the Western quadrant and an inversion with temperatures above the freezing level between 2000 m. and 2500 m. Friday: Traces of snow are forecasted with moderate winds from the NW and dropping freezing levels to 600 m. Saturday: Similar conditions are expected with lighter winds from the S and slightly warmer temperatures (around -4 C in the alpine).

Avalanche Summary

Small loose dry avalanches have been reported in steep terrain and also loose moist avalanches on steep solar aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Forecasted alpine warming and direct sun may lead to a loose moist snow surface. New wind slabs were formed by recent NW winds below ridgetops on lee aspects. Loose dry snow is sluffing in sheltered terrain. A generally settled upper snowpack overlies the late November surface hoar, buried down 115-130 cm. This layer seems particularly reactive in the Rossland Range, in rocky, thin snowpack areas. A deeply buried crust/facet layer near the base of the snowpack is considered dormant. Although unlikely, there is a lingering possibility of triggering a persistent slab in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Warm temperatures and direct sun may loosen surface snow layers.
Be cautious on sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.>Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.>

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Wind Slabs

New winds slabs were recently formed by NW winds and forecasted strong SW winds could also create new winds slabs on lee slopes.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3